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WHAT ARE
STOCK INDEX FUTURES?
Stock index futures are contracts to buy or sell the
value of a specific stock index at a specific date in the future.
Businesses and individual traders trade stock index futures for
different reasons, but primarily to try to profit from or protect
themselves from changes in the price underlying indexes. Financial
professionals, such as pension and mutual fund managers, typically use
CME index futures for managing risk and hedging portfolios against
adverse price moves. Others, such as day traders or position traders,
trade these products to speculate on the price fluctuations of the stock
market.
Stock index futures closely follow the price movement
of their respective indexes, typically referred to as the “underlying”
or “cash” indexes. Intraday, monthly, and yearly correlations between
cash indexes and futures are very close. On some occasions, the futures
may diverge from the cash index for short periods of time, but market
forces (such as arbitrage) usually work to bring these brief variances
back into line.
If in trading futures you purchase an index futures
contract, you hope to gain from future price increases when you offset
your trade by selling the contract. Correspondingly, if you initially
sell (i.e., selling short) an index futures contract, you hope to gain
if the price of the contract declines. Remember though, if your forecast
proves wrong, you risk loss. The rapid price changes associated with
stock indexes and stock index futures create continuous opportunities
for the successful trader. It can be more efficient, however, for a
trader who believes the market will decline to trade stock index futures
instead of equity securities. This is because a stock index futures
trade involves just one transaction to get into the market and one to
get out, while selling a basket of equity securities is likely to
involve numerous transactions.
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